← Sunday Spotlight archive
● Sunday SpotlightSunday Edition · Capital Region

Sunday Spotlight.

Issue No. 08July 5, 2026
Brian Marchand
This week's read

The buyers winning this summer stopped waiting for 5%.

A 5% mortgage rate isn’t on the horizon this year. The buyers who moved on without it are the ones closing.

01This week's take

"Wait for 5%" quietly turned into a two-year plan for some buyers.

At some point, "I’ll wait for rates to come down" stops being patience and starts being a plan nobody actually chose on purpose. A lot of buyers who set that mental line a year or two ago are still waiting, and rates haven’t moved anywhere close to it. Meanwhile, the buyers actually closing found other ways to make the math work.

The most common move: temporary and permanent rate buydowns, seller-paid closing cost credits, and adjustable-rate structures for buyers with a realistic five-to-seven-year plan. None of these require a market shift. They require a conversation about the buyer’s actual goals instead of a fixed number that isn’t moving.

This isn’t about talking every buyer into a rate they’re not comfortable with. It’s about separating "I want a lower payment" from "I need exactly this rate," because there are usually more paths to the first than the second.

There are more ways to lower a payment than there are ways to lower a rate.
02The numbers that matter
◆ The tools buyers are actually using instead of waiting
6.5%Avg. 30-yr fixed rate,
week of July 5
2-1Common temporary
buydown structure
1.4 mo.Housing supply,
Capital Region
0Realistic path to 5%
rates in 2026

Seller-paid buydowns and closing cost credits are becoming more common as sellers compete for fewer highly-qualified buyers. A buyer who asks for one during negotiation is often surprised how often sellers say yes.

A buyer this spring was ready to wait another year for rates to drop. Instead, we structured a 2-1 buydown paid by the seller as part of negotiations, dropping their first-year payment by nearly $300 a month with no cost to them. They closed in six weeks instead of waiting twelve months for a rate that hasn’t materialized.
03What to do with it this week
For realtors

Ask about buydowns before you assume a deal is dead on affordability.

If a buyer’s pre-approval is close but not quite comfortable, a seller-paid buydown can bridge that gap without anyone changing their price. Worth raising in negotiations before walking away from an otherwise good file.

A buyer $200 a month short of comfortable isn’t necessarily a lost deal. Ask about buydown structures before assuming so.

For sellers

Offering a rate buydown can be cheaper than a price cut.

If your listing is getting interest but no offers, a seller-paid buydown credit can widen your buyer pool without lowering your list price, and it often costs less than the price reduction that gets the same result.

A $6,000 buydown credit often does more for buyer interest than a $6,000 price cut, without moving your number.

For buyers

Ask what tools are on the table before you decide to wait another year.

Temporary buydowns, seller credits, and adjustable structures all exist for exactly this situation. Before setting a rate target and waiting for it, let’s see what your actual payment looks like with the tools available today.

"Waiting for 5%" has quietly become a multi-year plan for a lot of buyers. Ask what else is available before signing up for that.

Penny
Penny's Corner
Words of wisdom, from under Dad's desk

Dad explained "buydown" to me for ten minutes and I still think it sounds like something you do to a couch cushion. Whatever it actually is, he says it got someone into a house faster than waiting would have. I approve of anything that gets people off the phone with him sooner and back to petting me.

04From the closing table

Deals that close on schedule aren't an accident. These are the people who lived it, in their own words, from Google, Zillow, Facebook and Experience.com.

One move this week

Waiting for a rate that isn’t coming this year?

Let’s look at buydown and credit structures that might get you a comfortable payment today instead of a hoped-for rate next year. Send me your numbers and I’ll show you the real options.

Sunday Spotlight · A weekly read on the Capital Region housing market, from Brian Marchand.
Sr. Loan Consultant, New American Funding · NMLS #481563 · Albany · NMLS #6606 · Equal Housing Lender.
Mortgage rate per Freddie Mac PMMS, week of July 5, 2026. Local market figures reflect third-party aggregated Albany data. Buydown examples are illustrative; actual terms vary by lender, product, and negotiation. Nothing here is a commitment to lend or an offer of credit.
Brian Marchand, Powered by New American Funding

Scan to read our client reviews

QR code linking to client reviews

Google · Zillow · Facebook · Experience.com  ·  reviews page

Brian Marchand, Sr. Loan Consultant at New American Funding

Brian Marchand · Sr. Loan Consultant, New American Funding · NMLS #481563

Works with buyers and homeowners across Albany, NY, the Capital Region and New York State. Licensed in New York State. New American Funding, NMLS #6606 · 18 Computer Dr E, Suite 103, Albany, NY 12205.

About Brian