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Sunday Spotlight.

Issue No. 07June 28, 2026
Brian Marchand
This week's read

Everyone else is at the lake. The serious buyers are closing.

Late June through July Fourth is one of the quietest stretches for buyer traffic all year. Quiet doesn’t mean empty.

01This week's take

A quieter market isn’t a weaker one. It’s a more serious one.

The week around the Fourth of July is reliably one of the slowest for open house traffic and new showings. Vacations, cookouts, and long weekends pull a lot of casual lookers out of the market temporarily. Sellers sometimes read that as a sign to pull a listing or wait to list until August.

But the buyers who are still touring homes during a holiday week aren’t killing time between vacations, they’re working around their vacation because buying a house is the priority. That self-selection tends to produce a smaller but more motivated pool: pre-approved buyers on a real timeline instead of window shoppers.

For sellers, that trade-off is often worth it: fewer total showings, but a higher percentage of them from buyers ready to write an offer. For buyers, it can mean less competition on a home you actually want, simply because half the market took the week off.

Fewer showings, but the ones who show up mean it.
02The numbers that matter
◆ What a holiday-week market actually looks like
-22%Typical showing volume
around July 4th week
6.5%Avg. 30-yr fixed rate,
week of June 28
1.4 mo.Housing supply,
Capital Region
23 daysMedian days
to contract

Showing volume typically dips around the Independence Day holiday, but days-to-contract for homes that do go under contract this week often holds steady, evidence that the buyers still active are closer to a decision, not further from one.

A listing that went live the week before July 4th last year got fewer showings than a typical week, but the two offers it received both came from pre-approved buyers on tight timelines, and it closed in under three weeks. Quiet weeks sometimes produce cleaner deals, not slower ones.
03What to do with it this week
For realtors

Don’t assume a quiet week means a weak week.

If a listing goes live over the holiday and traffic looks light, that’s normal for the calendar, not a signal about the home. Set expectations with sellers ahead of time so a normal seasonal dip doesn’t read as a problem.

Fewer showings around a holiday is a calendar effect, not a market signal. Worth saying out loud to a nervous seller.

For sellers

A holiday-week listing trades volume for quality.

If your timeline lets you choose, listing around a holiday week isn’t necessarily a disadvantage. You’ll likely see fewer total showings, but a higher share of them from serious, pre-approved buyers rather than casual lookers.

Fewer showings from more serious buyers can be a fine trade, especially if your home is priced and presented well.

For buyers

Touring homes over a holiday week can work in your favor.

If you’re one of the buyers still looking this week, you’re facing less competition than a typical week. Being pre-approved now means you can move quickly if the right home comes up while everyone else is at the lake.

Less competition this week specifically. Worth being ready to act if the right home shows up.

Penny
Penny's Corner
Words of wisdom, from under Dad's desk

Everyone left me home alone for the cookout last weekend and honestly it was great, I had the whole couch. Dad says the housing market does something similar this time of year, everybody leaves and the ones who stick around get more room. I relate to this on a personal level.

04From the closing table

Deals that close on schedule aren't an accident. These are the people who lived it, in their own words, from Google, Zillow, Facebook and Experience.com.

One move this week

Touring homes over the holiday stretch?

Get pre-approved before you head out this week so you can move immediately if the right home turns up. I can usually turn a pre-approval around same day, holiday or not.

Sunday Spotlight · A weekly read on the Capital Region housing market, from Brian Marchand.
Sr. Loan Consultant, New American Funding · NMLS #481563 · Albany · NMLS #6606 · Equal Housing Lender.
Local market figures reflect third-party aggregated Albany data. Mortgage rate per Freddie Mac PMMS, week of June 28, 2026. Seasonal showing-volume patterns are illustrative and not a guarantee of future market behavior. Nothing here is a commitment to lend or an offer of credit.
Brian Marchand, Powered by New American Funding

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Brian Marchand, Sr. Loan Consultant at New American Funding

Brian Marchand · Sr. Loan Consultant, New American Funding · NMLS #481563

Works with buyers and homeowners across Albany, NY, the Capital Region and New York State. Licensed in New York State. New American Funding, NMLS #6606 · 18 Computer Dr E, Suite 103, Albany, NY 12205.

About Brian